How many Oscar Longshots Will Get Nominated by SAG?

If Rooney Mara ('The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo'), Michael Shannon ('Take Shelter'), Woody Harrelson ('Rampart') or Jonah Hill ('Moneyball') are serious Oscar threats, we may soon get a hint from SAG voters. Overall, about 90% of the nominations in the lead and supporting acting slots overlap at SAG and the Oscars, so the guild often tattles on what mavericks might pop up on the Academy's list in January.